VIX/VIX3M Ratio Scale
90-Day VIX/VIX3M Ratio
Inverse Volatility Signal History
About the VIX/VIX3M Ratio
The VIX/VIX3M ratio compares the Cboe's 30-day implied volatility index (VIX) to its 3-month implied volatility index (VIX3M, formerly VXV). A ratio below 1.0 indicates a contango term structure — short volatility positions profit from roll decay. A ratio above 1.0 signals backwardation — volatility is rising and inverse vol positions are at risk.
Vance Harwood's inverse volatility strategy (SixFigureInvesting.com, 2012) uses a threshold of 0.917 as the exit signal: when VIX/VIX3M exceeds 0.917, go to cash. This threshold was tested on ZIV (medium-term inverse volatility ETN) and produced a 70% annualized return with 11% max drawdown from 2010–2012. The strategy was in cash during the Feb 2018 VIXmageddon, avoiding the 96% XIV crash.
Data updated every 30 minutes during US equity hours. Full article ↗